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AUD/USD Daily Chart - 2025/2026
The USD is doing something it hasn't done in 50 years. Global uncertainty, elevated geopolitical risk, oil surging, and the dollar is weakening. Not strengthening. That matters, and I wrote about why in this week's newsletter. ⤵
But here's the other side of that story.
AUD/USD has had a big run. From around 0.6700 in December up to 0.7200 in February. That kind of move in that short a time tends to correct. And right now it is.
The chart shows a clear Fibonacci retracement zone sitting between 0.6718 and 0.6808. That zone also lines up with where the move originally started, and the 200 day moving average is rising into the same area. When you get that kind of confluence, it tends to act as a floor.
If AUD/USD continues to pull back into that zone, it could represent a better conversion window for anyone holding or earning in USD. Before it potentially springs higher again toward the bank targets of 0.70 to 0.73 for the rest of 2026.
Not a prediction. Just an area worth watching.
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